Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.052410 0.061486 0.071619 0.083764 0.097921 0.113900 0.133302
2025-08-17 0.036824 0.048150 0.062173 0.080790 0.104842 0.134853 0.175147
2025-08-24 0.028762 0.040885 0.057138 0.080473 0.113080 0.156993 0.220617
2025-08-31 0.023203 0.035345 0.052727 0.079348 0.119021 0.175893 0.263588
2025-09-07 0.019936 0.032236 0.050869 0.081034 0.128543 0.200388 0.317218
2025-09-14 0.016896 0.028828 0.047846 0.080208 0.133762 0.218710 0.363558
2025-09-21 0.014278 0.025595 0.044494 0.078154 0.136435 0.232994 0.404913
2025-09-28 0.012113 0.022734 0.041259 0.075681 0.137833 0.245040 0.443691
2025-10-05 0.010990 0.021522 0.040638 0.077572 0.146879 0.270928 0.509354
2025-10-12 0.009866 0.020115 0.039436 0.078173 0.153561 0.293286 0.571272
2025-10-19 0.008866 0.018783 0.038167 0.078418 0.159508 0.314855 0.634186
2025-10-26 0.008098 0.017793 0.037405 0.079511 0.167164 0.340424 0.707753
2025-11-02 0.007525 0.017146 0.037278 0.081955 0.178023 0.373877 0.801960
2025-11-09 0.006548 0.015473 0.034798 0.079127 0.177596 0.384649 0.851210
2025-11-16 0.005908 0.014456 0.033574 0.078833 0.182517 0.407026 0.927742
2025-11-23 0.005292 0.013391 0.032090 0.077733 0.185472 0.425483 0.997931
2025-11-30 0.004933 0.012891 0.031821 0.079387 0.194881 0.459163 1.106335
2025-12-07 0.004462 0.012036 0.030593 0.078577 0.198385 0.479879 1.187335
2025-12-14 0.003979 0.011074 0.028970 0.076564 0.198699 0.493193 1.252382
2025-12-21 0.003533 0.010138 0.027279 0.074141 0.197658 0.503117 1.310358
2025-12-28 0.003339 0.009859 0.027240 0.075994 0.207752 0.541374 1.443673
2026-01-04 0.003105 0.009433 0.026752 0.076583 0.214617 0.572357 1.562183
2026-01-11 0.002879 0.008993 0.026165 0.076823 0.220577 0.601718 1.680050